Cricket tips

2 beginner tips for betting on Cricket

Cricket has been a growing market for sports investors over the last few years, and with the advent of the web and media coverage it’s now possible to wager on cricket almost year round. For those new to betting on cricket, the profit opportunity can be had across the three major forms of the international cricket circuit.

Test matches which last for 5 days, with the most famous rivalries in international cricket being England and Australia competing for The Ashes every other year. And this is also the timing where cricket tipsters will spend special focus on the historical analysis of betting data across cricket teams as punters begin looking for their Expert cricket tips and bookies. One Day Internationals which are 50 over matches with the Cricket World Cup also coming round every 4 years. Read more

football accumulator tips

5 tips how to improve football accumulators

Americans who wager on soccer may not be as familiar with football accumulators as their fellow punters across the pond.

An ‘accumulator’ bet in football (soccer) is one of the most common football wagers made by punters across Europe…well, outside of North America.

An ‘accumulator’ is a single bet that links together two or more individual wagers and is dependent on all of those bets winning together.

For those football bettors or punters who use free football tips, or purchase their tips from top tipsters, tend to believe that single wagers give punters better chances of turning profit in the long run. Read more

poisson distribution soccer betting

Poisson Distribution: How to calculate winning soccer bets

Poisson Distribution is one of the most efficient ways to gauge a winner in soccer (football). When the poisson distribution system is used correctly, it can help determine the average goal scoring probability between two sides. That said, it can also be one of the more complex ways to calculate a potential winner, and it is isn’t perfect. So we’ll go over the basics here.

Poisson Distribution is based upon formulas, so if you aren’t fantastic with long division and multiplication, you might want a calculator.

P(x; μ) = (e-μ) (μx) / x!

If the above looks complicated and makes you say WTF, don’t worry. We’ll break it down for you. Basically, this is the principle formula behind the poisson distribution system, and what this formula does is it calculates the probability of the success of an event (in this case, a goal) over a specific window (in this case, a game). So let’s leave that alone for a bit and we’ll take two clubs. Since we need a window of time to gauge overall skill level, we’ll use a full season.

Related: 11 Tips: How beginner soccer punters should bet on soccer (football)

The first thing you’re going to do is deal with the total goals scored over a season. So first, divide the home teams’s goals by total games played. Then, divide the away goals by total games played. This will produce two decimal numbers for home and away strength, which then give us total attack strength for the club during the defined period.

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Next, you’ll need the number of goals conceded. There’s no math involved here, simply invert the numbers. (If the home and away strength were 1.574 and 1.195, respectively, then the goals conceded will be 1.195 and 1.574 for the goals conceded.)

Repeat this process for the away team.

Ready for Some Multiplication?

After you’ve calculated the numbers above for both teams, the answers become a little clearer. The key to remember here for the poisson distribution system is that you are not calculating a single set of probabilities, but two sets: one for the home team and one for the away team.

So the first thing to do is calculate the home team’s attack strength.

Take the number of goals scored at home over the time period (the season) by the home team and divide that number by number of home games.

After this, divide the answer by the season’s average home goals scored per game to get the home team’s Attack Strength.

Home Goals = Home Attack * Away Defense * Average No. Goals

Once this is done, repeat the process in the inverse with the away team’s numbers, calculating as:

Away Goals = Away Attack * Home Defense * Average No. Goals

This will likely produce two decimal numbers, one higher than the other. While that might be somewhat useful on the money line or 1X2 betting or asian handicapping, when using the poisson distribution system for making your soccer picks or other sports betting, that will not be useful for calculating goal probabilities.

This is the best time to introduce the Poisson Distribution Calculator. After calculating the above, you can simply plug the numbers into the calculator for the probability of each team to score a goal. By using a margin of, say, four goals, you can simply place a goal outcome (say, between 1-4) in the “random variable”, and the likelihood of a team scoring (the multiplied formula), and the calculator will issue that probability. By using the calculator with both teams up to a set number of goals, you can have a pretty good estimate in terms of highest probability in total score, and can compare it accordingly to the sports book.

One word of advice, however: soccer is unique in that a change in the narrative can completely throw numbers to the wind. Pay attention to things before you make our football tips, such as key stats that can play a major influence on impacting the score, and the game outcome.

4 TIps I learned from betting on college basketball

4 tips I learned from Sharps to win at college basketball (NCAAB) betting

College Basketball is growing sports investment market and among recreational bettors as they transition their bankrolls and winnings from the NFL season and augment their NBA plays. Among this, NCAAB is everywhere across the US from office pools to Vegas lines. There are anywhere from dozens to hundreds of games to bet on every week, and it’s easy to get caught up in the emotional side of the game. It’s also just as easy to go broke, since there are a lot of sports bettors who have no idea what they’re doing when they bet on basketball.

But having met a few smart basketball investors who claim their Sharp or wiseguy status (of course most only talk about their wins), I took away from those conversations and their insights on their own systems betting on college basketball, what they feel they do different than other basketball bettors, and also their perspectives on using data-driven basketball betting systems for predictive sports betting systems, such as successful Sharp basketball investor Bob Voulgaris betting system approach.  Read more

Haralabos (Bob) Voulgaris

Bob Voulgaris: How basketball bettor Bob Voulgaris still wins using data-driven, predictive sports betting systems

Among the most famous sports gamblers in basketball betting today is Bob Voulgaris who is largely known for his early, spectacular rise and subsequent fall. But unlike many sports bettors who fell victim to a losing streak, Voulgaris returned to the limelight by changing when everyone else stayed the same.

Voulgaris is better known as a top sports investor in the sports betting industry, as he stands in a class of his own among the recreational sports gamblers and bettors. Yet while Voulgaris has had an extraordinary life, there are useful sports betting strategies that can help sports bettors everywhere stay on top of their investments. While Voulgaris is quite tight-lipped about his current actual strategies, quick studies can pick up on a number of instructive guidelines that can help improve their own chances at winning. Read more

The Computer Group - How the computer group made millions betting on sports

How the Computer Group Made Millions in the Early 80’s on College Football, And Why That’ll Never Happen Again

Almost anyone who knows about the history of online sports betting knows about the Computer Group, perhaps the most successful computerized sports betting (see video) group in history, whose success led to the arrests of the entire group, including famed sports bettor Billy Walters, after investigations that the group was involved in an illegal bookmaking operation in 1985.

After the indictments of the members, the Computer Group split, and the level of success they reached was never to be repeated. But why? It’s a useful lesson to learn from their own history. Read more

winning mlb betting systems

5 Forgotten MLB Betting Tips: How 50 MLB bettors increased their Major League Baseball bankrolls X2

We ran a social experiment last season with a sample of our sports investors who weighted over 50% of their betting portfolio on Major League Baseball. Our hypothesis aimed to evaluate these 50 members (members of IntelligentBettingTips.com) MLB betting strategies, techniques and systems, and uncover the common winning and losing betting tactics amongst them. (related: 3 tips for betting MLB playoffs, versus regular season).
The outcome of this was quite the reverse, and produced insights into some common areas that were thought to be applied, but missed, and where data-driven betting systems and predictive analysis shows a trends of winning patterns. Simply from identifying this insight and sharing back to this pool of 50 members, after one full baseball season we surveyed them and found a strong majority had achieve greater profits in MLB than over the last 5 years, and in many case double (and more) their baseball betting bankroll.

The result is what I’ll share with are what I consider the 5 forgotten MLB betting tips that can boost your bankroll and increase your MLB profits. While some may seem like common sense, it was also a surprise to us when these were revealed among a number of others as forgotten or misplaced betting strategies or principles that the data will endorse.
Read more

3 NHL betting mistakes most hockey bettors make

Three Mistakes: Most NHL bettors fail at winning because of these 3 betting mistakes

Betting on the NHL has its own unique tactics that can make it trickier to predict than other sports. Novice bettors who don’t pay attention to these betting oddities can make huge mistakes on their own bets, which can be easily avoided. In this post we’ll cover three common mistakes hockey bettors make betting on the NHL. Once you familiarize yourself with these three mistakes, check out our other post on 4 tips how to become a bettor NHL bettor and the current Intelligent Tips and Expert NHL picks available.

The NHL has a number of rules to ensure parity between the teams at the sports books. Much more than NFL betting, which requires some research but can also be invested defensively by novice bettors or gamblers, NHL betting takes research and conservative betting. So the three biggest mistakes that bettors make that seem minor in comparison to other sports. Read more

football betting strategy tips (soccer)

11 Tips: How beginner soccer punters should bet on soccer (football)

If your new to football betting (aka soccer to those North Americans), or an avid sports bettor or investor and thinking of broadening your betting portfolio to soccer, it’s important you understand the fundamentals of soccer betting before you lay your wagers with the soccer bookie.

Whether you plan to wager with your bookie or an online sportsbook on the Premier league, Champions league or any another other European or international soccer league, you need to know how to bet on soccer, and what to wager on.

In this post we’ll cover a few important betting tips the sports investor needs to consider before betting on any soccer game. And for a selection of soccer matches our members use in their soccer betting strategy, consider browsing our selection of soccer predictions and picks. Read more

Betting on NHL - Hockey betting strategies and how to become a bettor NHL sports gambler

How to Become a Better NHL Bettor: 4 Tips

While betting on the NHL (see NHL picks) is not as common as on the NFL, NBA, or MLB, sports bettors and investors looking to augment their current betting portfolio with little time of to learn a new sport and strategies, can often find a great fit with the NHL. And those hockey bettors active in profiting from betting on the NHL, will find 4 tips in this post on how to become a better hockey bettor.

However, while similar to many other sports in terms of general betting practice (“pucklines”, for example, are over/under totals), hockey betting has some unique features to it that can catch a novice unaware when betting on their NHL picks. By following a few simple tips, however, NHL betting is something that is easy to become good at, if you put the time– as with any other sport– to apply study to what you’re betting on. Read more