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how to bet on football

How to Bet on the Super Bowl this season

This seasons NFL Super Bowl looks to be the biggest Super Bowl in terms of betting yet, with more money being bet on this year than any Super Bowl in history.

Looking past the storylines, looking past the numbers, looking past the major NFL pundits Super Bowl predictions, there are Superbowl strategies to use that will make all the difference between profiting from the big game or walking away a loser. Read more

nfl media pundit picks

Superbowl 51 insight: The best (and worst) NFL pundits picks on Patriots and Falcons this season

Super Bowl LI will kick off soon and countless NFL fans and bettors will be talking shop and running their NFL systems to get their picks. But most NFL fans will be tuning into the major media networks and Twitter feeds to catch NFL’s mainstream NFL pundits and analysts to get their Super Bowl prediction for this Sunday.

So who will you take for your Super Bowl pick? CBS Sports vs FOX Sports, Forbes vs. USA Today, NFL Network vs. FiveThirtyEight?

NFL pundits Superbowl picks and predictions

Here’s a tip. If you plan to take the talking heads picks for Super bowl, you might as well be equipped with the data to back up the NFL pundits selections. So here’s some insight on the top 100 NFL pundit and analysts sports pick performance for the 2016 season with a hyper-focused lens on these pundits football picks placed on all New England Patriot games, and all Atlanta Falcons games. Read more

3 things I've learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

3 things I’ve learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

There are a few things I’ve picked up from betting on the Super Bowl over the years and they’ve even made me some money…good money. Sure there have been failures…and those hard fails have been turned into fast learnings that quickly turned into profitable returns.

Among all the NFL football betting tips and strategies I have learned, including the top 3 mistakes made betting on the super bowl,  is that most of the assumptions people come in with when making their Super Bowl pick and wager on the big game are all wrong.

For most people, betting on the NFL or Super Bowl is a fun hobby. These social gamblers bet their money, they lose, and they leave. But if you want that money, some of your inherent assumptions have to change about betting.

For many serious sports bettors and investors, betting…or when approached as strategic investment opportunities, it is a way of life and pays their bills and adds to their investment income.

Sports investing is a serious business, so if you’re not committed to taking it serious, and instead wagering on the Super Bowl as part of your hobby, or simply seeking to make a quick buck, then there’s nothing wrong with having fun. Just be a little more serious.

Tip 1: Play smart =  Care more about your money than your team

In every Super Bowl betting pool, there are winners, and there are losers. Your goal is to not be the latter. How? Simple. Remember that when you bet on a game (or Super Bowl) that you are investing in the outcome. It also helps to look for the 3 insights that show value for Super bowl wagers.

Betting is not chest-beating with money (well, it can be) but about figuring out who has the best chance of winning. If you’re betting because you like a player, that’s a bad idea and I’ll take your bet.  Why, that player will be the target on the field.

If you’re betting on the Super Bowl because that’s your hometown team and it’s a big deal, that’s a far worse idea – and I’ll still take your bet. Why? Romanticism can cloud one’s judgment. If that’s not clear, then it’s best to not proactively invest but play defensively.

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Tip 2: Playing defensively is smart

When you bet defensively on the Super bowl, you should have a good reason to do so, and that good reason is that the outcome is unclear. For those of you new to betting on the Super bowl or big game events, see this other article on 5 Super bowl betting tips.

Spread betting on the Super bowl, which is the most common way to play defensively, is a good way to hedge a bet. Almost invariably, if you spread bet, you should put money on the underdog, since the pressure in terms of betting is substantially reduced. Why? Because spread betting is actually hedged betting against the favorite. With a point spread, you’re adding a second qualifier to the favorite winning– that they have to win by a certain margin. This means that if the underdog loses just beneath the favorite, the underdog loses but stays within the spread, or the underdog wins, you win in all cases.

Tip 3: Be a contrarian. Play against the crowed

Aside from the value that comes with contrarian betting strategy or betting against the squares, and the simple fact that the crowd has been wrong 8 out of 10 times in the past decade on the Super Bowl, there’s a deeper reason to avoid betting with the crowd.

All the problems described above (favoritism, vested personal interest in a team winning, lack of clear strategy) are exacerbated in the crowd.

The biggest mistake a football bettor can make is assume that they are betting against a team. They are not. They are betting against another pool of players.

Therefore betting the way that pool of players bets pretty much guarantees you will get a minimal return regardless of the result. Bet defensively, bet smart, and bet without emotion. If you do that, you will always have a better chance of a return on your investment, and you’ll find that you lose less and win more over time.

Super bowl XLIX prediction

3 insights that show betting value for Super Bowl XLIX: New England Patriots versus Seattle Seahawks

As Seattle Seahawks seek to defend their Super Bowl title against the New England Patriot in Super Bowl XLIX, sports investors, bettors and gamblers alike are seeking who offers the best value. To provide insights into the value-side, we look at a few predictive indicators that give the sports bettor the data-drive insight into the wagering on the NFL point spread and moneyline.

Before we dive into who offers greater value, this is the first year that IntelligentBettingTips.com is offering free access to all Super bowl predictions and picks. Our Super bowl record the last 5 seasons is 4 and 1 (80%), and in the last Packers vs. Seahawks and Colts vs. Patriots, we went 12 of 12 (100%) on the spread, money line and totals.
If you’ve always been interested to try IntelligentBettingtips.com, now is your chance for free. See the promo code (FREESB2015) and instructions at the bottom of this article on how to use this code and get free access for all Super bowl picks. Read more

5 NFL Super Bowl betting tips

With Super bowl XLVII approaching, the betting public will get ready to check the latest Super bowl futures and NFL odds, and debate their Super bowl predictions and picks. Before placing your friendly wager with friends or at one of the best betting sites online, consider a few sports betting tips from expert football handicappers on how to place your Super bowl pick.

Most expert NFL handicappers and analysts will all tell you similar advice: The sports betting market, much like the financial and equity markets, are extremely efficient.

“It’s a lot more fun to bet on football than on Wal-Mart,” admits Steven Levitt, a distinguished economics professor at the University of Chicago and author of “How Do Markets Function? An Empirical Analysis of Gambling on the National Football League,” published in The Economic Journal. For the entertainment, sports bettors are willing to lose a little on average, he explains.

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Super Bowl predictions: NFL’s Broncos & Packers an early call

With the 2013 now here, all the talk is NFL Super bowl XLVII predictions. While its still anyone’s pick, a look at the industry from the NFL source itself and their analysts, are already making their early Super bowl picks for the big game on February 3rd, 2013 in New Orleans.

Not that we disagree or agree on their NFL super bowl picks, it is still early to tell and an early call. As each football playoff game is played out week by week, the predictions change.

Even our network of industry expert NFL handicappers, social NFL predictions and the public betting predictions including Facebook’s football predictions app. and social or crowd sourcing sports prediction sites as Social Sports Betting Picks won’t be fully tabulated until we get closer to the superbowl, there are strong indicators we can see from the NFL playoff picks being made.

But what will the experts handicappers predictions be? Fade the public or bet against the squares…you remember that simple, yet one of the most popular football betting strategies used by many, and works ‘over time’, simply bet against the public or consensus.  We’ll have another post on public betting and betting against them on the underdogs shortly.

Until that time all the NFL handicappers and betting pubic release their Superbowl predictions are calculated, lets take a sneak peak into NFL.com’s analysts Super bowl 47 predictions. Read more

2013 Super Bowl XLVII NFL Future Odds & Predictions

The end of December means 3 things to most Americans. Christmas holidays with the family, make New Years plans to ring in the new year, and NFL playoffs and Superbowl is right around the corner!

Taking a review of some of the best betting sites and the Super bowl future odds for their 2013 Super bowl predictions, we’ve summarized the NFL football odds futures Vegas and the books are forecasting to win Super bowl 47 on February 3rd in New Orleans this year.

Updated: Get an updated preview of NFL.com’s analysts Super bowl predictions here – with the Bronco’s and Packers leading the future calls.

And while its still a bit preliminary for industry expert NFL handicappers to place their NFL picks for Super bowl, we can get a flavor of what the best sports betting sites and Vegas odds are calling. But remember to, they move their lines too based on the information they receive, including the betting publics opinion. Keep that in mind and the sports betting strategy of betting against the public 😉 Read more