NFL superbowl 50 predictions top NFL pundits

2016/17 NFL Pundits of the Year (and Superbowl Sunday predictions): Josh Hill of FanSided and Josh Katzowitz of Forbes

We are all guilty of buying into NFL pundits and talking heads NFL Sunday predictions that we caught on CBS Sports, FOX Sports, read online at Forbes, LA Times, Yahoo Sports, Twitter or dozens and dozens of other leading NFL media networks.

Sometimes those NFL pick win, and other times they don’t. But this raises the question who should you follow and believe? What NFL pundit or talking head is earning their pay check, and what ones should maybe fine a new day job and one the #GoldenPlungerAward?

This NFL season we pressure tested the NFL pundits predictions and tracked over 27,000 straight up NFL picks and over 12,000 against the spread picks of these professional sports pundits. In this post we cover not only the top NFL pundits and analysts (aka talking heads) for the football season, but also cover the top ranked pundits Superbowl predictions.

Superbowl 51 predictions

No patience? Take me to the top NFL pundits Superbowl predictions (straight up and against the spread)

Superbowl Straight Up Consensus (details below)

NFL superbowl 50 predictions NFL pundit consensus

Superbowl Against the Spread Consensus (details below)

NFL superbowl against the spread predictions NFL pundit consensus

The best (and worst) NFL pundits and analysts this season

We tracked and graded for win accuracy, simulated profitability and even aggregated the collective intelligence of all the talking heads to get the weekly game consensus (see a one-stop-shop of all NFL and College pundit picks here)

If you put trust numbers and looking how you can use this information for Superbowl 51, then check out “Who’s your Superbowl 50 pick?” for a deeper analysis on NFL pundits win and profit performance for New England Patriot and Atlanta Falcon games this season. But without diving into the weeds on these two teams and looking at pundit expertise more broadly across all teams and games, then check out the results below.

Looking for Superbowl predictions? If you want the Top 5 NFL pundits Superbowl 51 picks straight up or against the spread, or the collective consensus of all major media pundits, then check out the list of the NFL pundits free Superbowl Sunday picks here.

Pundits: Straight Up NFL Picks: Win Rate & Profit

Over 27,130 straightup NFL picks were tracked over the season from +120 NFL pundits and analysts. The winners and losers of the 2016/2017 NFL performance is presented below.

Top 5 Winners:
Each of the following NFL pundits and analysts consist of 1 NFL pundit. If the pundit is part of a team or network, see below for team performance. Profit performance is simulated on a $100 wager for each game prediction, and a minimum number of NFL picks made on the money line average odds

  1. Josh Hill of FanSided @ 68.1% win rate, 218 picks (147 W 69 L), $6,477 profit
  2. Josh Katzowitz of Forbes.com @ 67.8% win rate, 266 picks (179 w 85 L), $7,789 profit
  3. Sam Farmer of Los Angeles Times @ 67.7% win rate, 265 picks (178 w 85 L), $7,698 profit
  4. NumberFire @ 67.4% win rate, 266 picks (178 w 86 L), $7,598 profit
  5. Vegas Lines of Vegas @ 67.2%, 261 picks (174 w 85 L), $7,334 profit

Bottom 5: #GoldenPlungerAwards

  1. Jason La Canfora of CBS Sports, 267 NFL picks (148 W, 116 L), 56.1% win rate, $1,868 profit
  2. Bart Scott of CBS Sports, 254 NFL picks (144 W, 108 L), 57.1% win rate, $2,304 profit
  3. Nick Kostos of CBS Sports, 256 NFL picks (146 W, 108 L), 57.5% win rate, $2,467 profit
  4. Chris Chase of FOX Sports, 266 NFL picks (152 W, 112 L), 57.6% win rate, $2,632 profit
    • Did you know Chris hit 88.9% win rate on 8 of 9 Atlanta games straight up this season! Falcon favourite!
  5. Peter Shrager of FOX Sports, 256 NFL picks (147 W, 107 L), 57.9% win rate, $2,677 profit

Pundits: Against the Spread NFL Picks: Win Rate 

Over 12,016  against the spread (#ATS) NFL picks were tracked over the season from est. 100 NFL pundits and analysts. The winners and losers  of the 2016/2017 NFL performance is outlined below.

Top 5 Winners:
Profit performance is simulated on a $100 wager for each game prediction, and a minimum number of NFL picks made the average against the odd spread.

  1. Josh Katzowitz of Forbes @ 56.4% win rate (150 W 116 L)
  2. Christopher Gasper of Boston Globe @ 52.2% win rate (131 W 120 L)
  3. James Eisenberg of CBS Sports @ 52.1% win rate (139 W 128 L)
  4. Tom Rock of News Day @ 52.1% win rate (138 W 127L)
  5. Will Brinson of CBS Sports @ 52.1% win rate (130 W 128 L)

Bottom 5: #GoldenPlungerAwards

  1. Tim Cowlishaw of Dallas News @ 39.8% win rate (106 W 160 L)
  2. Vic Tafur of SFGate @ 40.3% win rate (138 W 151 L)
  3. Newy Scrugs of Dallas Morning News @ 44.4% win rate (118 W 148 L), $21 profit
  4. Jim McBride of Boston Globe @ 45.5% win rate (121 W 145 L)
  5. Nora Princiotti of Boston Globe @ 44.6% win rate (123 W 144 L)

Teams: Straight Up NFL Picks: Win Rate & Profit

Top 5 Winning Teams
Each of the following NFL pundits and analysts consist of 1 NFL pundit in the team. Profit performance is simulated on a $100 wager for each game prediction, and a minimum number of NFL picks made on the money line average odds.

  1. Forbes @ 67.8%, 266 NFL picks, $7,789 profit
  2. Los Angeles Times @ 67.7%, 265 NFL picks, $7,698 profit
  3. NumberFire @ 67.4%, 266 NFL picks, $7,598 profit
  4. Vegas.com @ 67.2%, 261 NFL picks, $7,334 profit
  5. AccuScore & Yahoo Sports (tied) @ 65.8%, 265 NFL picks

Interesting Insight: NFL Network landed a 64.5% win rate on 1,780 straight up NFL picks, consisting of a roster of 6 NFL analysts.

Bottom 5: #GoldenPlungerAwards
Although these NFL pundit teams were in ranked last place in the NFL  Leaderboard Teams Straightup based on win rate, you only need to the 52.4% win rate to have a profitable season.

  1. Bleacher Report @ 58.7%, 256 NFL picks
  2. Westwoodone @ 60.4%, 768 NFL picks (team of 2 NFL pundits)
  3. Walter football @ 60.2%, 266 NFL picks
  4. CBS Sports @ 61.5%, 3,891 NFL picks (team of 15 NFL pundits)
  5. FOX Sports @ 61.7%, 2,552 NFL picks (team of 9 NFL pundits)

Top Pundits: Superbowl 51 Predictions & Consensus

At time of publishing (Updated: Saturday, Feb 4, 2017, 9:45 PM PST)

Consensus Superbowl Picks: Straight up

  1. New England Patriots @ 66% to win, 51 of 77 pundit picks

Consensus Superbowl Picks: Against the Spread

  1. New England Patriots @ 55% -3 to win, 21 of 38 pundit picks

Top 5 Pundits Superbowl Picks: Straight up

  1. Josh Hill of FanSided @ 68.1% win rate (218 picks) for the season = No pick yet
  2. Josh Katzowitz of Forbes.com @ 67.8% win rate (266 picks) for the season = New England Patriots
  3. Sam Farmer of Los Angeles Times @ 67.7% win rate (265 picks) for the season = Atlanta Falcons
  4. NumberFire @ 67.4% win rate (266 picks) for the season = New England Patriots
  5. Vegas Lines of Vegas @ 67.2%, 261 picks for the season = New England Patriots

Top 5 Pundits Superbowl Picks: Against the Spread

  1. Josh Katzowitz of Forbes @ 56.4% win rate (266 picks)  = New England Patriots -3
  2. Christopher Gasper of Boston Globe @ 52.2% win rate (251 picks) = New England Patriots -3
  3. James Eisenberg of CBS Sports @ 52.1% win rate (267 picks) = New England Patriots -3
  4. Tom Rock of News Day @ 52.1% win rate (265 picks) = New England Patriots -3
  5. Will Brinson of CBS Sports @ 52.1% win rate (258 picks) = Atlanta Falcons +3

There you go folks. Enjoy. I gotta run and hit the store before it closes to finish off that 7 layer dip for tomorrows game. L8.

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