how to bet on football

How to Bet on the Super Bowl this season

This seasons NFL Super Bowl looks to be the biggest Super Bowl in terms of betting yet, with more money being bet on this year than any Super Bowl in history.

Looking past the storylines, looking past the numbers, looking past the major NFL pundits Super Bowl predictions, there are Superbowl strategies to use that will make all the difference between profiting from the big game or walking away a loser. Read more

nfl media pundit picks

Superbowl 51 insight: The best (and worst) NFL pundits picks on Patriots and Falcons this season

Super Bowl LI will kick off soon and countless NFL fans and bettors will be talking shop and running their NFL systems to get their picks. But most NFL fans will be tuning into the major media networks and Twitter feeds to catch NFL’s mainstream NFL pundits and analysts to get their Super Bowl prediction for this Sunday.

So who will you take for your Super Bowl pick? CBS Sports vs FOX Sports, Forbes vs. USA Today, NFL Network vs. FiveThirtyEight?

NFL pundits Superbowl picks and predictions

Here’s a tip. If you plan to take the talking heads picks for Super bowl, you might as well be equipped with the data to back up the NFL pundits selections. So here’s some insight on the top 100 NFL pundit and analysts sports pick performance for the 2016 season with a hyper-focused lens on these pundits football picks placed on all New England Patriot games, and all Atlanta Falcons games. Read more

Bad sports gambling beats

3 destructive football betting syndromes no Sharp or Tipster can tolerate

As we get into the final weeks of the NFL season, it’s a good idea to take a brief moment to remember where stupid money flows and bet against it.

Remember there are a lot of ways to screw up at sports betting. The three destructive areas I’ll cover momentarily, are basically the worst– the sort of mentalities that lead even a novice Sharp or handicapper to run from a football game mumbling to himself about fate of all humanity.

Homer-ism
No, this is not a reference to Homer Simpson– he actually had a Sharp in his corner during the classic episode Lisa the Greek— but the constant desire for one’s home team to win.

This becomes less pronounced during the Super Bowl (unless, of course, there’s a home team playing in the crowd) but it is the worst kind of way to bet– and unfortunately, it’s also the most common. Wishing for your team to win the Super Bowl or #NFLSunday, and knowing your team’s real probability of winning are two very different things, and unfortunately the passion that the game incites inspires stupid betting.

Bettors bet with their heads. Gamblers bet with their hearts. So the biggest red flag is to hear the words “you’re from City X– how can you bet against them?” You can take instant comfort in the fact that you are talking to a person that has no clue what they are doing. Read more

Don't bet on the Superbowl

Don’t bet on the NFL Super bowl if….

If you’re wagering on the Super bowl this year with no sound strategy or minimal understanding how to increase your success to win your Super bowl bets…then save your money and don’t bet on the game as I’m sure there are thousands of better ways you could spend the money. Does this sound like you?

When Super Bowl weekend arrives, you can expect that there will be lots of opportunities to make a profit on the game if you understand what you’re doing…similar with wagering on the weekly NFL picks and selections throughout the regular season. Of course, many opportunities exist because the Super Bowl is one of the most gambled games of the year– people are willing to throw money away (gambling) on what appears to be, on paper, a 50/50 chance. Then why not just flip a coin and hold your breathe, or keep is low-key and play squares at your Superbowl party (Tip: Superbowl: Best strategies for playing squares).

We, being our sports investor members, are not those people (though we like a mean game of squares as the cherry $$ on top of our big Superbowl pay day). But for those who are not a sports investor member (join for free) and perhaps a recreational or social gambler, then here are three major ways to NOT to bet on the Super Bowl!

Don’t bet with the crowd

Betting with the crowd is a great way to lose your money. Bookmakers adjust their lines to give the house a slight advantage, so even when the numbers appear to be in your favor, it’s better to start looking for better number. Read more

nfl super bowl sharp money betting

5 Tips: How Sharps profit, betting on the NFL Super Bowl

In the NFL betting markets, Sharps like big games. Why? The don’t bet like Super Bowl gamblers. Super Bowl gamblers can expect to lose record amounts of money on Super Bowl in any year because as the money goes into the pool X number of ways, which increases the loss probability exponentially. Here are five ways to avoid the noise and increase the success of winning your Super Bowl wagers this year. Read more

betting squares

Super Bowl: The best strategies for playing squares

When Super Bowl approaches, out come the prop bets: bets that aren’t really about who wins or loses, but bets on interesting details during the game.

Big events tend to make people bet-happy, and with the Super Bowl, there are unique prop bets passed around offices and friends as everyone shows off their inner football analyst and make select their Super Bowl picks and predictions.

One of the most popular of these is the game of Squares for the Super Bowl, so in this post we’ll look at some of the best ways to play Squares.

What are these “squares”, you say? If you’re new to Squares, it’s a betting competition where people try to guess the last digit of the score for both teams at the end of a given quarter, and is common for playoff games and the Super Bowl (it is played for regular games as well, but not as often). NB: This fun betting competition is much different than the football handicapper strategy, how to bet against the “squares”. Read more

3 things I've learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

3 things I’ve learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

There are a few things I’ve picked up from betting on the Super Bowl over the years and they’ve even made me some money…good money. Sure there have been failures…and those hard fails have been turned into fast learnings that quickly turned into profitable returns.

Among all the NFL football betting tips and strategies I have learned, including the top 3 mistakes made betting on the super bowl,  is that most of the assumptions people come in with when making their Super Bowl pick and wager on the big game are all wrong.

For most people, betting on the NFL or Super Bowl is a fun hobby. These social gamblers bet their money, they lose, and they leave. But if you want that money, some of your inherent assumptions have to change about betting.

For many serious sports bettors and investors, betting…or when approached as strategic investment opportunities, it is a way of life and pays their bills and adds to their investment income.

Sports investing is a serious business, so if you’re not committed to taking it serious, and instead wagering on the Super Bowl as part of your hobby, or simply seeking to make a quick buck, then there’s nothing wrong with having fun. Just be a little more serious.

Tip 1: Play smart =  Care more about your money than your team

In every Super Bowl betting pool, there are winners, and there are losers. Your goal is to not be the latter. How? Simple. Remember that when you bet on a game (or Super Bowl) that you are investing in the outcome. It also helps to look for the 3 insights that show value for Super bowl wagers.

Betting is not chest-beating with money (well, it can be) but about figuring out who has the best chance of winning. If you’re betting because you like a player, that’s a bad idea and I’ll take your bet.  Why, that player will be the target on the field.

If you’re betting on the Super Bowl because that’s your hometown team and it’s a big deal, that’s a far worse idea – and I’ll still take your bet. Why? Romanticism can cloud one’s judgment. If that’s not clear, then it’s best to not proactively invest but play defensively.

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Tip 2: Playing defensively is smart

When you bet defensively on the Super bowl, you should have a good reason to do so, and that good reason is that the outcome is unclear. For those of you new to betting on the Super bowl or big game events, see this other article on 5 Super bowl betting tips.

Spread betting on the Super bowl, which is the most common way to play defensively, is a good way to hedge a bet. Almost invariably, if you spread bet, you should put money on the underdog, since the pressure in terms of betting is substantially reduced. Why? Because spread betting is actually hedged betting against the favorite. With a point spread, you’re adding a second qualifier to the favorite winning– that they have to win by a certain margin. This means that if the underdog loses just beneath the favorite, the underdog loses but stays within the spread, or the underdog wins, you win in all cases.

Tip 3: Be a contrarian. Play against the crowed

Aside from the value that comes with contrarian betting strategy or betting against the squares, and the simple fact that the crowd has been wrong 8 out of 10 times in the past decade on the Super Bowl, there’s a deeper reason to avoid betting with the crowd.

All the problems described above (favoritism, vested personal interest in a team winning, lack of clear strategy) are exacerbated in the crowd.

The biggest mistake a football bettor can make is assume that they are betting against a team. They are not. They are betting against another pool of players.

Therefore betting the way that pool of players bets pretty much guarantees you will get a minimal return regardless of the result. Bet defensively, bet smart, and bet without emotion. If you do that, you will always have a better chance of a return on your investment, and you’ll find that you lose less and win more over time.

Avoid these top 3 mistakes when betting on the super bowl

The top three mistakes made when betting on the Super Bowl

The Super Bowl vibe is always an exciting time leading up just after the NFC and AFC championship game. Traditional sports media as ESPN, FoxSports and CBS Sports begin to sensationalize key players, coaches and matchups, all while influencing the publics opinion on who will win the Super Bowl, and more importantly what team is the favorite which the public sways towards with their money at online sports books.

This psychological influence from mass media, among others that we’ll get into, contribute to the top 3 mistakes most sports bettors make when betting on the Super Bowl – and which mistakes you should be aware to avoid when making your Super Bowl predictions and placing some money on the big game.

Its common knowledge your NFL handicappers, sports investors and avid recreational sports bettor will tend to either stick to the betting system or betting strategy they’ve used all season that works, or make subtle adjustments in their betting system for big events in determining their Super Bowl prediction, where the best value resides on the spread, and of course the over / under and exotic prop bets. Read more

Super bowl XLIX prediction

3 insights that show betting value for Super Bowl XLIX: New England Patriots versus Seattle Seahawks

As Seattle Seahawks seek to defend their Super Bowl title against the New England Patriot in Super Bowl XLIX, sports investors, bettors and gamblers alike are seeking who offers the best value. To provide insights into the value-side, we look at a few predictive indicators that give the sports bettor the data-drive insight into the wagering on the NFL point spread and moneyline.

Before we dive into who offers greater value, this is the first year that IntelligentBettingTips.com is offering free access to all Super bowl predictions and picks. Our Super bowl record the last 5 seasons is 4 and 1 (80%), and in the last Packers vs. Seahawks and Colts vs. Patriots, we went 12 of 12 (100%) on the spread, money line and totals.
If you’ve always been interested to try IntelligentBettingtips.com, now is your chance for free. See the promo code (FREESB2015) and instructions at the bottom of this article on how to use this code and get free access for all Super bowl picks. Read more

Super Bowl 2015 betting strategy and predictions

How to bet on the 2015 Super Bowl XLIX

Every year in America, the Super Bowl is the most-bet game with millions of dollars wagered on two teams to win it all, and between recreational sports bettors and the public are making their NFL Super Bowl predictions and putting their money where their mouth is with the sportsbooks. The 2014 Superbowl, nearly $120 million was wagered on one side or the other. Chances are, you could be involved in an office pool or fantasy league pool where everyone puts their money where their mouths are.

Now that the 2015 Superbowl XLIV is approaching rapidly, a sharp few will apply betting strategy techniques to mitigate potential losses and maximize their possibility of a win. Let’s take a look at what some of the most common Super Bowl betting techniques used are and which are the most successful. Read more