NBA basketball myths

3 insane NBA betting myths that are actually true!

We all known NBA is big for betting at the online sports books, and one of the more interesting leagues to bet on because of the straight mathematics of the system.

Basketball has a lot of rules in place to make sure that parity is ensured, which is why there are few “systems” that work besides pure, unfiltered statistical analysis. Heck, just ask world-renowned basketball bettor Bob Voulgaris.

But because of this (and all the lost bets by the wayside), a number of crazy ideas about betting on the NBA that sound mythical are actually real!

#1. Betting on NBA Preseason

Preseason betting in basketball is more risky than almost any other season. While this seems difficult to swallow, believe it. Rules are designed to ensure parity between teams will make it more likely that the preseason will be unpredictable. Why? The NBA is very tightly controlled to ensure that no one team or club can establish a dynasty very successfully – of course there is Jordans Chicago Bulls. But while teams may have a good run for a few years, there’s little chance of a 20 or 30 year dynasty in the NBA.

Teams that are unsuccessful are given a huge advantage through the draft for the next year. In short, it is almost impossible to predict how the most successful and least successful teams will perform this year based on next year. Even the most expert NBA  handicappers understand this context, and will constantly refine their basketball betting systems to take into account how draft picks and their performance could give the edge to the underdogs.

That is something that would be determined, ultimately, within the first few weeks of the season– meaning that the bets you place during the early season need to be extremely conservative – and why we advise sports investors to monitor any Experts basketball picks performance between pre-season, and few weeks after into regular season, very closely. Why? The appropriate mix of data points are considered in NBA betting systems and are essentially stress tested in these games. Therefore any Expert handicappers NBA betting system should showcase a shining performance – or at least more profitable than the average, if the right mix of statistical data points have been considered and tested.

#2. Ignore Offence and Defence

Your basketball picks should not be determined based simply on what key players are starting on offence or defence. Why? Offence and defence don’t matter because you have to deal with relative team strength.

Novice bettors place all their stock on offence or defense and usually rank teams based on that overall. However, neither of those two attributes can work on their own. In fact, they’re almost inseparable, meaning that your defenders can be just as valuable to a team line-up as your attackers. So selecting your basketball picks and betting on those picks based on a strong offence or defence can be a mistake, particularly if the opposing teams are well suited to apply or handle pressure overall.

#3. Favor the Low Ranks

Statistical analysis shows that betting against teams that are lower ranked at the end of the season deliver profitable advantages. It is not surprising to see teams on the lower end of the table “giving it their all” and their all ends up not looking like much. You might see some occasional heroics, but most of what you will see will be baseline play to avoid the charge of throwing the game– something that led to a league scandal a few years ago.

So if you are dealing with teams that are on the lower end, look at their win/loss percentages of recent games and make a determination as to whether a team is going to phone it in. You can also look at how these 5 tips for betting on the NBA playoffs can also augment your basketball betting strategy. But simply put, betting against teams in these situations is a much smarter strategy.

4 tips to handicapper college basketball rematch conference games

4 tips for handicapping college basketball rematch conference games

4 tips to handicapper college basketball rematch conference gamesIf you’ve ever played a college basketball pick on a game, or an avid sport bettor on the games, you’ve probably quickly realized that a tricky part of gambling on college basketball conference games are the rematches.

Its not uncommon that in the NCAA conference two teams will play each other twice, both home and away. Most beginner sports bettors get taken on the rematch games as as they often look only at the previous match up.

Unfortunately its not as simple. You can take confidence in a knowledge college basketball handicapper and play their college picks, or do your research to look at many of the factors that go into that second conference game. These factors can make or break your college basketball bankroll profits, and can make college basketball handicappers much more profitable when betting on the second conference game. Read more

4 TIps I learned from betting on college basketball

4 tips I learned from Sharps to win at college basketball (NCAAB) betting

College Basketball is growing sports investment market and among recreational bettors as they transition their bankrolls and winnings from the NFL season and augment their NBA plays. Among this, NCAAB is everywhere across the US from office pools to Vegas lines. There are anywhere from dozens to hundreds of games to bet on every week, and it’s easy to get caught up in the emotional side of the game. It’s also just as easy to go broke, since there are a lot of sports bettors who have no idea what they’re doing when they bet on basketball.

But having met a few smart basketball investors who claim their Sharp or wiseguy status (of course most only talk about their wins), I took away from those conversations and their insights on their own systems betting on college basketball, what they feel they do different than other basketball bettors, and also their perspectives on using data-driven basketball betting systems for predictive sports betting systems, such as successful Sharp basketball investor Bob Voulgaris betting system approach.  Read more

Haralabos (Bob) Voulgaris

Bob Voulgaris: How basketball bettor Bob Voulgaris still wins using data-driven, predictive sports betting systems

Among the most famous sports gamblers in basketball betting today is Bob Voulgaris who is largely known for his early, spectacular rise and subsequent fall. But unlike many sports bettors who fell victim to a losing streak, Voulgaris returned to the limelight by changing when everyone else stayed the same.

Voulgaris is better known as a top sports investor in the sports betting industry, as he stands in a class of his own among the recreational sports gamblers and bettors. Yet while Voulgaris has had an extraordinary life, there are useful sports betting strategies that can help sports bettors everywhere stay on top of their investments. While Voulgaris is quite tight-lipped about his current actual strategies, quick studies can pick up on a number of instructive guidelines that can help improve their own chances at winning. Read more

10 types of sports bettors, which one are you?

In the sports betting market, there are a variety of personalities or types of sports bettors who frequent the online sports books. Especially around major sporting events as the NFL Superbowl, to MLB World Series and one of my favourites – FIFA World Cup predictions, we see a variety of individuals who visit the online sportsbooks, and seek handicapper or tipster services.

From gamblers to recreational sports bettors to Sharps to investors, we’ve always maintained a focus on attracting and nurturing those individuals who view sports betting not as gambling, but as another investment vehicle to include in their investment portfolio among 401K, stocks, bonds, options, etc.

Think about it. When you understand the financial markets as the NASDAQ and NYSE are influenced by uncontrollable factors such as big player moves, and price swings resulting from psychological and emotional factors, you’ve got to wonder how much data-driven insight can play a roll to win. Read more

wise guys college basketball

6 betting tips how wise guys handicap NCAA college basketball mid-season

The unpredictability of college basketball game among sports bettors and most college handicappers in the early season is quite high, relying solely on historical data and statistics, among the best guesstimate from pre-season performance and player moves.

By the time mid-season rolls around sports bettors and college handicappers have a pretty strong sense on their college predictions and picks as the following 6 tips all help reveal high performance teams and match-ups, and where value can be found.

Recommended: If you’re new to betting on college basketball, or getting re-familiarized after NFL has come to an end, have a read a popular post we published a year ago on Got your college picks? How to bet on college basketball.

Read more

nfl betting mistakes

9 out of 10 NFL bettors make these mistakes

nfl betting mistakesBetting on NFL and college football is a common past-time of most sports fans who follow football. Whether they’ve found a legal way to bet at an online sportsbook, Vegas or among friends and fantasy leagues, the thrill of making or purchasing your weekly NFL picks and throwing some of your hard earned dollars or part of your bankroll can be equivalent of watching your lotto numbers come up on the screen.

In the longer term, only a small percentage of NFL bettors make a profit. Key point is long term. Sports investors (and sharps) on the other hand have shown much higher percentages of long term profits, and greater profits than that of the average stock market investor. Read more

NBA predictions track record

2013 NBA playoff predictions from handicapper Venus

2013 NBA predictions track record - VenusWith the Miami Heat leading the Eastern Conference playoffs 3-2 against Indiana, and another chance to seal another conference, lets take a quick preview of our pool of expert handicappers whose basketball predictions are padding our members portfolio’s that play on our NBA picks.

NBA playoff prediction time is an interest time of year for handicappers and tipsters as the variety of prediction strategies applied to produce their basketball picks tend to create reciprocal prediction performance from the regular season vs. playoffs, except for the few whose picks strategy remains tight and perform with profitable portfolios into the NBA playoffs and through to the finals.

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a winning hot streak

6 tips to betting ATS on the NBA

a winning hot streakWhile I love some hot streaks in sports, those losing streaks can play to the favor of your bankroll. I’ll cover 6 tips to consider when betting on basketball against the spread (ATS), and where both hot streaks and losing streaks can work for your sport investing strategy.

Now your sports investing or betting strategy most likely contains a variety of bet types, there are two ways to bet the sides of the game; the money line and against the spread (ATS). And while there will always be teams on hot and losing streaks, those sports bettors who bet or invest throughout the basketball season and use our nba picks, both NBA and college basketball, will find these hot streaks seem to last longer than most other sports.

Now if you’re new using a sports betting system to bet against the spread (ATS), or you haven’t played ATS in your sports investment strategy (see our infographic guide to sports investing), lets run through the basics real quick to catch you up to speed: Read more

NBA playoff predictions

5 Tips for betting on NBA playoffs

NBA playoff predictionsThe profitable sports investor or bettor understands the advantages necessary to increase their odds on a successful win. Its the knowledge of getting the inside tip or information that gives the advantage, and the understanding how to exploit it. Hell, sportsbooks offering odds on the NBA playoffs look for just that, and of the obvious balance of where the money placed on teams.

Whether you’re a sports investor with NBA included in your betting portfolio, or an avid basketball bettor betting on the NBA playoffs, its no different to identify the subtle differences between a match up to take advantage.

In the NBA playoffs an expert basketball handicapper or analyst researching their NBA playoff picks will look for those subtle differences between the first and second rounds of playoffs. On the surface it may seem the teams are fluid in their 1st and 2nd round performance, but as seasoned investors know both rounds can be quite different.

When betting on both rounds of the NBA playoffs, take consideration of these 5 betting tips: Read more