betting squares

Super Bowl: The best strategies for playing squares

When Super Bowl approaches, out come the prop bets: bets that aren’t really about who wins or loses, but bets on interesting details during the game.

Big events tend to make people bet-happy, and with the Super Bowl, there are unique prop bets passed around offices and friends as everyone shows off their inner football analyst and make select their Super Bowl picks and predictions.

One of the most popular of these is the game of Squares for the Super Bowl, so in this post we’ll look at some of the best ways to play Squares.

What are these “squares”, you say? If you’re new to Squares, it’s a betting competition where people try to guess the last digit of the score for both teams at the end of a given quarter, and is common for playoff games and the Super Bowl (it is played for regular games as well, but not as often). NB: This fun betting competition is much different than the football handicapper strategy, how to bet against the “squares”. Read more

3 things I've learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

3 things I’ve learned winning Super bowl predictions 4 out of 5 years in a row

There are a few things I’ve picked up from betting on the Super Bowl over the years and they’ve even made me some money…good money. Sure there have been failures…and those hard fails have been turned into fast learnings that quickly turned into profitable returns.

Among all the NFL football betting tips and strategies I have learned, including the top 3 mistakes made betting on the super bowl,  is that most of the assumptions people come in with when making their Super Bowl pick and wager on the big game are all wrong.

For most people, betting on the NFL or Super Bowl is a fun hobby. These social gamblers bet their money, they lose, and they leave. But if you want that money, some of your inherent assumptions have to change about betting.

For many serious sports bettors and investors, betting…or when approached as strategic investment opportunities, it is a way of life and pays their bills and adds to their investment income.

Sports investing is a serious business, so if you’re not committed to taking it serious, and instead wagering on the Super Bowl as part of your hobby, or simply seeking to make a quick buck, then there’s nothing wrong with having fun. Just be a little more serious.

Tip 1: Play smart =  Care more about your money than your team

In every Super Bowl betting pool, there are winners, and there are losers. Your goal is to not be the latter. How? Simple. Remember that when you bet on a game (or Super Bowl) that you are investing in the outcome. It also helps to look for the 3 insights that show value for Super bowl wagers.

Betting is not chest-beating with money (well, it can be) but about figuring out who has the best chance of winning. If you’re betting because you like a player, that’s a bad idea and I’ll take your bet.  Why, that player will be the target on the field.

If you’re betting on the Super Bowl because that’s your hometown team and it’s a big deal, that’s a far worse idea – and I’ll still take your bet. Why? Romanticism can cloud one’s judgment. If that’s not clear, then it’s best to not proactively invest but play defensively.

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Tip 2: Playing defensively is smart

When you bet defensively on the Super bowl, you should have a good reason to do so, and that good reason is that the outcome is unclear. For those of you new to betting on the Super bowl or big game events, see this other article on 5 Super bowl betting tips.

Spread betting on the Super bowl, which is the most common way to play defensively, is a good way to hedge a bet. Almost invariably, if you spread bet, you should put money on the underdog, since the pressure in terms of betting is substantially reduced. Why? Because spread betting is actually hedged betting against the favorite. With a point spread, you’re adding a second qualifier to the favorite winning– that they have to win by a certain margin. This means that if the underdog loses just beneath the favorite, the underdog loses but stays within the spread, or the underdog wins, you win in all cases.

Tip 3: Be a contrarian. Play against the crowed

Aside from the value that comes with contrarian betting strategy or betting against the squares, and the simple fact that the crowd has been wrong 8 out of 10 times in the past decade on the Super Bowl, there’s a deeper reason to avoid betting with the crowd.

All the problems described above (favoritism, vested personal interest in a team winning, lack of clear strategy) are exacerbated in the crowd.

The biggest mistake a football bettor can make is assume that they are betting against a team. They are not. They are betting against another pool of players.

Therefore betting the way that pool of players bets pretty much guarantees you will get a minimal return regardless of the result. Bet defensively, bet smart, and bet without emotion. If you do that, you will always have a better chance of a return on your investment, and you’ll find that you lose less and win more over time.

Avoid these top 3 mistakes when betting on the super bowl

The top three mistakes made when betting on the Super Bowl

The Super Bowl vibe is always an exciting time leading up just after the NFC and AFC championship game. Traditional sports media as ESPN, FoxSports and CBS Sports begin to sensationalize key players, coaches and matchups, all while influencing the publics opinion on who will win the Super Bowl, and more importantly what team is the favorite which the public sways towards with their money at online sports books.

This psychological influence from mass media, among others that we’ll get into, contribute to the top 3 mistakes most sports bettors make when betting on the Super Bowl – and which mistakes you should be aware to avoid when making your Super Bowl predictions and placing some money on the big game.

Its common knowledge your NFL handicappers, sports investors and avid recreational sports bettor will tend to either stick to the betting system or betting strategy they’ve used all season that works, or make subtle adjustments in their betting system for big events in determining their Super Bowl prediction, where the best value resides on the spread, and of course the over / under and exotic prop bets. Read more

Super bowl XLIX prediction

3 insights that show betting value for Super Bowl XLIX: New England Patriots versus Seattle Seahawks

As Seattle Seahawks seek to defend their Super Bowl title against the New England Patriot in Super Bowl XLIX, sports investors, bettors and gamblers alike are seeking who offers the best value. To provide insights into the value-side, we look at a few predictive indicators that give the sports bettor the data-drive insight into the wagering on the NFL point spread and moneyline.

Before we dive into who offers greater value, this is the first year that IntelligentBettingTips.com is offering free access to all Super bowl predictions and picks. Our Super bowl record the last 5 seasons is 4 and 1 (80%), and in the last Packers vs. Seahawks and Colts vs. Patriots, we went 12 of 12 (100%) on the spread, money line and totals.
If you’ve always been interested to try IntelligentBettingtips.com, now is your chance for free. See the promo code (FREESB2015) and instructions at the bottom of this article on how to use this code and get free access for all Super bowl picks. Read more

betting banks

BETTING BANKS: 3 secret betting strategies used by professional sports bettors

Any seasoned sports investor will tell you there are a hundreds of different sports gambling strategies and betting systems used across the globe across a variety of sports as NFL football to European football to horse racing.

When a sports investor applies a betting strategy to his investment portfolio, he’s not talking about a strategy that involves gambling on a game via a sports pick determined by a flip of a coin or listening to ESPN’s Monday night football predictions.

The sports investor is talking about a betting strategy or investment strategy that is designed to see an initial investment as his bankroll, grow over time while minimizing risk, and do so at a rate that is better than a similar risk/reward investment, such as the equity markets on Wall Street. Thus the key goal of the sports investors betting strategy is to minimize risk, and attain a profitable rate of return….over time. Read more

1X2 soccer betting

Soccer: What is 1×2 betting?

I admit, when I first got into sports investing and looked into the football (soccer) betting markets, the 1X2 betting was at first confusing. Not to my surprise, I was not alone, but after getting very familiar with 1X2, I wanted to simplify it for our North American sports investor members who are magnets for North American sports, and neglect the investment potential out of the European football betting markets.

1X2 betting is also known as three-way betting, and simply refers to betting on a home win, a draw or an away win. Read more

Super Bowl 2015 betting strategy and predictions

How to bet on the 2015 Super Bowl XLIX

Every year in America, the Super Bowl is the most-bet game with millions of dollars wagered on two teams to win it all, and between recreational sports bettors and the public are making their NFL Super Bowl predictions and putting their money where their mouth is with the sportsbooks. The 2014 Superbowl, nearly $120 million was wagered on one side or the other. Chances are, you could be involved in an office pool or fantasy league pool where everyone puts their money where their mouths are.

Now that the 2015 Superbowl XLIV is approaching rapidly, a sharp few will apply betting strategy techniques to mitigate potential losses and maximize their possibility of a win. Let’s take a look at what some of the most common Super Bowl betting techniques used are and which are the most successful. Read more