NBA basketball myths

3 insane NBA betting myths that are actually true!

We all known NBA is big for betting at the online sports books, and one of the more interesting leagues to bet on because of the straight mathematics of the system.

Basketball has a lot of rules in place to make sure that parity is ensured, which is why there are few “systems” that work besides pure, unfiltered statistical analysis. Heck, just ask world-renowned basketball bettor Bob Voulgaris.

But because of this (and all the lost bets by the wayside), a number of crazy ideas about betting on the NBA that sound mythical are actually real!

#1. Betting on NBA Preseason

Preseason betting in basketball is more risky than almost any other season. While this seems difficult to swallow, believe it. Rules are designed to ensure parity between teams will make it more likely that the preseason will be unpredictable. Why? The NBA is very tightly controlled to ensure that no one team or club can establish a dynasty very successfully – of course there is Jordans Chicago Bulls. But while teams may have a good run for a few years, there’s little chance of a 20 or 30 year dynasty in the NBA.

Teams that are unsuccessful are given a huge advantage through the draft for the next year. In short, it is almost impossible to predict how the most successful and least successful teams will perform this year based on next year. Even the most expert NBA  handicappers understand this context, and will constantly refine their basketball betting systems to take into account how draft picks and their performance could give the edge to the underdogs.

That is something that would be determined, ultimately, within the first few weeks of the season– meaning that the bets you place during the early season need to be extremely conservative – and why we advise sports investors to monitor any Experts basketball picks performance between pre-season, and few weeks after into regular season, very closely. Why? The appropriate mix of data points are considered in NBA betting systems and are essentially stress tested in these games. Therefore any Expert handicappers NBA betting system should showcase a shining performance – or at least more profitable than the average, if the right mix of statistical data points have been considered and tested.

#2. Ignore Offence and Defence

Your basketball picks should not be determined based simply on what key players are starting on offence or defence. Why? Offence and defence don’t matter because you have to deal with relative team strength.

Novice bettors place all their stock on offence or defense and usually rank teams based on that overall. However, neither of those two attributes can work on their own. In fact, they’re almost inseparable, meaning that your defenders can be just as valuable to a team line-up as your attackers. So selecting your basketball picks and betting on those picks based on a strong offence or defence can be a mistake, particularly if the opposing teams are well suited to apply or handle pressure overall.

#3. Favor the Low Ranks

Statistical analysis shows that betting against teams that are lower ranked at the end of the season deliver profitable advantages. It is not surprising to see teams on the lower end of the table “giving it their all” and their all ends up not looking like much. You might see some occasional heroics, but most of what you will see will be baseline play to avoid the charge of throwing the game– something that led to a league scandal a few years ago.

So if you are dealing with teams that are on the lower end, look at their win/loss percentages of recent games and make a determination as to whether a team is going to phone it in. You can also look at how these 5 tips for betting on the NBA playoffs can also augment your basketball betting strategy. But simply put, betting against teams in these situations is a much smarter strategy.

Haralabos (Bob) Voulgaris

Bob Voulgaris: How basketball bettor Bob Voulgaris still wins using data-driven, predictive sports betting systems

Among the most famous sports gamblers in basketball betting today is Bob Voulgaris who is largely known for his early, spectacular rise and subsequent fall. But unlike many sports bettors who fell victim to a losing streak, Voulgaris returned to the limelight by changing when everyone else stayed the same.

Voulgaris is better known as a top sports investor in the sports betting industry, as he stands in a class of his own among the recreational sports gamblers and bettors. Yet while Voulgaris has had an extraordinary life, there are useful sports betting strategies that can help sports bettors everywhere stay on top of their investments. While Voulgaris is quite tight-lipped about his current actual strategies, quick studies can pick up on a number of instructive guidelines that can help improve their own chances at winning. Read more

NBA predictions track record

2013 NBA playoff predictions from handicapper Venus

2013 NBA predictions track record - VenusWith the Miami Heat leading the Eastern Conference playoffs 3-2 against Indiana, and another chance to seal another conference, lets take a quick preview of our pool of expert handicappers whose basketball predictions are padding our members portfolio’s that play on our NBA picks.

NBA playoff prediction time is an interest time of year for handicappers and tipsters as the variety of prediction strategies applied to produce their basketball picks tend to create reciprocal prediction performance from the regular season vs. playoffs, except for the few whose picks strategy remains tight and perform with profitable portfolios into the NBA playoffs and through to the finals.

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a winning hot streak

6 tips to betting ATS on the NBA

a winning hot streakWhile I love some hot streaks in sports, those losing streaks can play to the favor of your bankroll. I’ll cover 6 tips to consider when betting on basketball against the spread (ATS), and where both hot streaks and losing streaks can work for your sport investing strategy.

Now your sports investing or betting strategy most likely contains a variety of bet types, there are two ways to bet the sides of the game; the money line and against the spread (ATS). And while there will always be teams on hot and losing streaks, those sports bettors who bet or invest throughout the basketball season and use our nba picks, both NBA and college basketball, will find these hot streaks seem to last longer than most other sports.

Now if you’re new using a sports betting system to bet against the spread (ATS), or you haven’t played ATS in your sports investment strategy (see our infographic guide to sports investing), lets run through the basics real quick to catch you up to speed: Read more

NBA playoff predictions

5 Tips for betting on NBA playoffs

NBA playoff predictionsThe profitable sports investor or bettor understands the advantages necessary to increase their odds on a successful win. Its the knowledge of getting the inside tip or information that gives the advantage, and the understanding how to exploit it. Hell, sportsbooks offering odds on the NBA playoffs look for just that, and of the obvious balance of where the money placed on teams.

Whether you’re a sports investor with NBA included in your betting portfolio, or an avid basketball bettor betting on the NBA playoffs, its no different to identify the subtle differences between a match up to take advantage.

In the NBA playoffs an expert basketball handicapper or analyst researching their NBA playoff picks will look for those subtle differences between the first and second rounds of playoffs. On the surface it may seem the teams are fluid in their 1st and 2nd round performance, but as seasoned investors know both rounds can be quite different.

When betting on both rounds of the NBA playoffs, take consideration of these 5 betting tips: Read more

Infographic: What type of sports bettor area you?

INFOGRAPHIC: The sports bettors guide to sports investing

Help others stop gambling on sports. Share this INFOGRAPHIC and embed it into your website or blog by copying & paste the HTML above, Tweet it or Like it.

Sports Betting System Guide | Infographic

how to tease a bet

What is a teaser bet, and how to handicap

how to tease a betEvery season – NFL, MLB, MBA, etc. online sports books have seen a growing trend towards sports bettors taking teaser bets.

Teaser bets have become a popular sports betting strategy that teaser bets can influence the oddsmakers to move lines. Expert handicappers, punters and investors can move a line in their favor after a key volume of teasers are placed pairing two or more teams together.

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Won Teasers

Wong teasers betting strategy

Won TeasersWong teasers. Yes – you read it correctly. Wong teasers. If you’ve been investing in sports for a few years, or a recreational sports bettor, then at some point in time you’ve likely heard the chatter about won teasers.  Wong teasers are another form of teaser investments or bets where the spread moves through the most important key numbers. What are those key numbers? Well lets take two steps back first to understand key numbers in sports betting and what key numbers your expert handicapper or professional sports investor uses in their NFL sport pick results.

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